July 24, 2024

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Chiefs vs. Jaguars prediction, odds, line, spread, start time: 2023 NFL playoff picks from model on 16-6 roll

Chiefs vs. Jaguars prediction, odds, line, spread, start time: 2023 NFL playoff picks from model on 16-6 roll

The Jacksonville Jaguars hope to end a lengthy losing streak against the Kansas City Chiefs when they visit the AFC West champions on Saturday in the Divisional Round of the 2023 NFL playoffs. Since posting a 24-21 victory in 2009, Jacksonville (10-8) has lost six consecutive meetings with Kansas City, including a 27-17 decision on the road in Week 10. The AFC South champion Jaguars will have their hands full against the Chiefs (14-3), who are 4-0 in the Divisional Round with Patrick Mahomes as their starting quarterback.

Kickoff from Arrowhead Stadium is set for 4:30 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a nine-point favorite in the latest Chiefs vs. Jaguars odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 52.5. Before locking in any Jaguars vs. Chiefs picks, make sure you check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven projection model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the Divisional Round of the 2023 NFL playoffs on an incredible 162-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 16-6 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of this season.

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94{18875d16fb0f706a77d6d07e16021550e0abfa6771e72d372d5d32476b7d07ec} of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Chiefs vs. Jaguars on Saturday and just locked in its picks and NFL playoff predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Jaguars vs. Chiefs:

  • Chiefs vs. Jaguars spread: Kansas City -9
  • Chiefs vs. Jaguars over/under: 52.5 points 
  • Chiefs vs. Jaguars money line: Kansas City -550, Jacksonville +400
  • KC: Chiefs are 1-7-1 against the spread in their last nine home games
  • JAX: Jaguars are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven meetings with Kansas City 
  • Chiefs vs. Jaguars picks: See picks here

Featured Game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Why the Chiefs can cover

Mahomes has been superb in the NFL playoffs during his career, leading Kansas City to an 8-3 record and a Super Bowl championship. The 27-year-old has thrown for 3,381 yards with 28 touchdowns and seven interceptions in 11 postseason games while running for 323 yards and five scores. Mahomes had a strong showing in the Chiefs’ 27-17 victory against Jacksonville in Week 10, completing 26-of-35 attempts for 331 yards and four TDs.

Kansas City finished first in passing offense (297.8 yards) during the regular season, as Mahomes led the NFL in yardage (career-high 5,250) and touchdown tosses (41). The team had four players rack up more than 500 receiving yards, with tight end Travis Kelce ranking eighth in the league with 1,338 on a career-best 110 catches. Wideouts JuJu Smith-Schuster and Marquez Valdes-Scantling registered 933 and 687 yards, respectively, in their first season with the Chiefs, while running back Jerick McKinnon finished with 512 and nine TD receptions, including one in each of his last six games. See which team to pick here.

Why the Jaguars can cover

Jacksonville has been on a roll since losing at Kansas City in November, going 7-1 after rallying from a 27-point deficit to post a 31-30 victory against the Los Angeles Chargers during Super Wild Card Weekend. With that triumph, the Jaguars became the first team in NFL history to win a playoff game after finishing with the league’s worst record the previous season. Making his postseason debut, Trevor Lawrence overcame a miserable first half versus the Chargers in which he threw four interceptions to finish with 288 yards and four touchdown passes.

The first overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, Lawrence has guided Jacksonville to six consecutive victories after beginning his professional career with a 7-22 record. The Jaguars provided the 23-year-old quarterback with a solid receiving corps last offseason, bringing in tight end Evan Engram and wideouts Christian Kirk and Zay Jones, who all set career-highs in catches and receiving yards. Meanwhile, running back Travis Etienne Jr, Lawrence’s teammate at Clemson, strengthened the team’s ground attack by gaining 1,125 yards after missing his rookie season with a foot injury. See which team to pick here.

How to make Chiefs vs. Jaguars picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under the point total, calling for 50 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 50{18875d16fb0f706a77d6d07e16021550e0abfa6771e72d372d5d32476b7d07ec} of simulations. You can only see the model’s picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Jaguars vs. Chiefs in the 2023 NFL playoffs? And which side of the spread hits over 50{18875d16fb0f706a77d6d07e16021550e0abfa6771e72d372d5d32476b7d07ec} of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chiefs vs. Jaguars spread to be all over on Saturday, all from the advanced model that is up well over $7,000 on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.